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Why Mr Market is valuing Rs 179cr more than Rs 2.6 lakh cr

Written By Unknown on Senin, 22 Desember 2014 | 14.03

Moneycontrol Bureau

One of the beauties of investing is, in the face of uncertainty, values of companies lie in the eyes of the beholder.

Thus, when it came out that homegrown e-tail major Flipkart had concluded yet another round of fund-raising, some USD 700 million of it, the company's valuation was shown to have been pushed further to a stratospheric USD 11 billion, or about Rs 70,000 crore.

And so we pulled a list of India's bluechip companies that are now valued less than Flipkart and it threw up many heavyweights: UltraTech Cement, Hero MotoCorp, Nestle, Dr Reddy's, Bank of Baroda, Tata Steel, among others.

Such comparisons between staid old-world companies with plenty of assets, sales and earnings and "new-age" fast-growing companies that potentially stare at game-changing opportunities, aren't new.

But a more conspicuous name was oil retailer BPCL , valued by Mr Market at Rs 47,150 crore. With all of its Rs 2.6 lakh crore sales and Rs 4,000 crore profits. And this is after the company's value has doubled this year.

Now, Investing 101 tells us how it is may be ridiculous to compare two companies with complete different business lines, operating environments, maturity of business, sales growths, etc.

But at some level, the contrast couldn't be more striking, thanks to Flipkart's USD 1 billion-USD 3 billion in gross merchandise value sales this year (depending on which media report you read) -- or Rs 6,500-Rs 19,500 crore -- and not a dime in profits.

Of course, BPCL's highly-regulated operating environment and mature market will make sure it grows at a speed only a fraction of Flipkart's.

But as investors pour in billions of fresh capital into fledgling e-commerce firms at ever-increasing valuations, it underscores the beauty of, and uncertainty in, investing where you have several strong arguments for and against an investment case.

Sure, Flipkart has grown at more than 300 percent while global peer Amazon, valued at more than 12 times, has grown at some 22 percent in the past few years.

And sure, at Rs 179 crore in actual net sales (not gross merchandise value – know about the difference here ) and Rs 400 crore in losses in fiscal year 2014, Flipkart's price-to-sales and price-to-earnings valuation metrics are so expensive, they are probably not even calculable.

But only time will tell which argument comes out ahead. As Buffett says: "In the business world, the rearview mirror is always clearer than the windshield."

Also read: Flipkart raises $700 million in fresh round of funding


14.03 | 0 komentar | Read More

Stock market prediction for December 22-26: Satish Gupta

By Satish Gupta of Astrostocktips

Weekly planetary position: During the week, Moon will be transiting in Sagittarius, Capricorn & Aquarius, Jupiter in Cancer, Ketu in Pisces, Lord Saturn in Scorpio, Sun, Venus & Mercury in Sagittarius, Mars in Capricorn, Lord Rahu in Virgo, Pluto in Sagittarius, Neptune in Aquarius & Uranus in Pisces and Sun will shift to Sagittarius on December 16, 2014.

Following sectors will be receiving astrological support:

Auto sector will continue receiving strong astrological support. Buy M&M , Maruti , TVS Motor , Ashok Leyland , Eicher Motors , Bajaj Auto ,  Hero Motocorp etc on every dip.

Pharma sector will also continue getting astrological support. Buy Biocon , Aurobindo Pharma , Glenmark Pharma , Dr Reddy's Labs , Divis Labs , Biocon , Granules , Shilpa Medicare ,  Ipca Labs etc on every decline.

Financial sector, specially housing finance sector will continue getting astrological support. Buy Gruh Finance , LIC Housing , DHFL , Repco India , Shriram Transport , IDFC , SKS Microfinance , Reliance Capital , SBI , DCB , BOI , Central Bank ,  Canara Bank etc on dips.

Personal Care sector will also be getting astrological support. Buy Hindustan Unilever , Dabur , Emami , Jyothy Labs ,  Godrej Consumer etc on decline.

Capital goods sector will also be receiving astrological support. Buy BHEL , Crompton , Siemens , L&T ,  Havells etc on dips.

Plastic sector will continue receiving astrological support. Buy Sintex, Jain Irrigation, Neelkamal Plastic, Safari Industries, VIP Industries etc on dips.

Auto ancillery & food processing sectors will continue receiving astro support.

One should trade only in the stocks of that sectors which are getting very strong astrologically support.

Sectors which get very strong astrological support are not normally affected by downfall in the market.

Disclaimer: The views and investment tips expressed by investment experts/astrologers on moneycontrol.com are their own, and not that of the website or its management. Moneycontrol.com advises users to check with certified experts before taking any investment decisions.


14.03 | 0 komentar | Read More

Go long in Petronet LNG: Hemant Thukral

Hemant Thukral of Aditya Birla Money suggests going long in Petronet LNG with a target of Rs 210.

Hemant Thukral of Aditya Birla Money told CNBC-TV18, " Petronet LNG is a midcap which I don't see usually trading interesting built up but on Friday we have seen a fresh open interest of 10 percent. Interestingly the rollovers have increases that means the majority of the positions have been mazed in the next series with premium that is the cost increasing, so clearly telling that long positions have come in place."

"Technically now it is sustaining above Rs 195 which gives me a target towards that Rs 207- 212 which is the next resistance zone for Petronet. So, I would recommend people to go long on this stock keeping a stoploss of Rs 193-195 that has been a very strong support zone for Petronet and a target of Rs 210 in mind," he added.


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Richard Verma sworn in as US Ambassador to India

Written By Unknown on Minggu, 21 Desember 2014 | 14.02

Richard Rahul Verma, who quietly played a key role in the Congressional passage of the civil nuclear deal and a strong advocate of deepening Indo-US ties, has been sworn in as the US Ambassador to New Delhi, becoming the first ever Indian-American to hold the post. The 46-year-old was sworn in by Secretary of State John Kerry at the State department.

Verma is scheduled to arrive in India ahead of Kerry's visit to Delhi next month. US President Barack Obama will arrive in late January to attend the Republic Day Parade on January 26 as the Chief Guest.

He was confirmed by the Senate by a voice vote last week.

Verma, who quietly played an important role in the Congressional passage of civil nuclear deal with India, had advocated for strong Indo-US ties when in the administration and recently started 'India 2020' project at the Centre for American Progress — a top American-think tank.

He will replace Nancy Powell, who resigned in March after a damaging row over the treatment of diplomat Devyani Khobragade over visa fraud charges.

The US Embassy in New Delhi is currently headed by a charge d'affaires, Kathleen Stephens. Verma's association with Obama goes back to 2008 when he worked on presidential debate preparations for the then Illinois senator.

He served as Assistant Secretary of State for Legislative Affairs under Hillary Clinton from 2009 to 2011, and was a senior counsellor at law firm Steptoe & Johnson as well as the Albright Stonebridge Group.

"Known as a talented leader and manager, he is recognised for his many years of experience working on high-level policy in the federal government, in the private sector and with non-governmental organisations, especially on matters relating to the affairs of South Asia and India, including political-military relations," according to his profile on the State Department Web site.

His knowledge and ability to set the agenda will enable him to strengthen bilateral relations with India, a pivotal nation of critical global importance to the US, it said. His parents went  to the US in the early 1960s.

"It is a day of celebration for Indian-Americans," said Dr Sampat Shivangi, national president of Indian American Forum for Political Education.

"Verma deserves this worthy appointment due to his dedication and well deserved respect he commands from President Obama and entire US Congress and the nation," said Shivangi, one of the few Indian-Americans invited to attend the swearing-in ceremony at the State Department yesterday.


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Govt strips Devyani Khobragade off her duties

MEA Spokesperson Syed Akbaruddin said the action taken against Khobragade is related to an ongoing inquiry against her in a vigilance case. Vigilance case against Khobragade is underway on charges that she had failed to disclose that her husband is a US citizen and that she has got US passports for her two children.

The government stripped diplomat Devyani Khobragade off her duties in the Ministry of External Affairs, days after she spoke to media without seeking permission.

Reportedly, Khobragade was stripped of her duties as director in the Development Partnership Division and has further been placed on "compulsory wait"

MEA Spokesperson Syed Akbaruddin said the action taken against Khobragade is related to an ongoing inquiry against her in a vigilance case.  Vigilance case against Khobragade is underway on charges that she had failed to disclose that her husband is a US citizen and that she has got US passports for her two children.

 A 1999-batch IFS officer, Khobragade, was arrested on December 12 on charges of making false declarations in a visa application for her maid. She was released on a USD 250,000 bond.

 The diplomat was strip searched and held with criminals, triggering a row between the two sides with India retaliating by downgrading privileges of certain category of US diplomats. After the row broke out, Khobragade was transferred to India's permanent mission to the UN. Following her arrest, her passport was kept in court's custody..


14.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

Do you invest to save tax?

Arnav Pandya

Sometimes an investment that cannot be bought due to unattractive returns and benefits it offers, is actually bought just for the purpose of saving tax. There is a clear way in which every individual has to approach this situation and here are some of the main points that can be considered in this analysis.


Nature of tax benefit

There can be two types of tax benefits that an individual can get when they make a certain investment. The first one involves the benefit at the time of making the investment. It is a deduction that is available when the money is invested. A deduction means that the amount is reduced from the taxable income of the individual so this would end up lowering the tax that has to be paid. This is the kind of benefit that one sees when there is an investment that is covered under Section 80C of the Income Tax Act in instruments like insurance premium, National Savings Certificates, PPF, EPF etc.

The other tax benefit is that the income that is earned on the investment has a beneficial tax treatment. This could either be a part of the income that is tax free or it could be that the entire income is tax free. There is also a chance that the income earned from a specific investment route has a tax rate applicable that is lower than what would be witnessed for similar earnings from other areas. All this would make the route slightly attractive for the investor. Both these types of tax benefits by themselves might not shift the decision to one of investing but it can sometimes help in the overall process.

Usage of limits

There is also a situation wherein there are limits that present for a specific benefit like the deduction under Section 80C where there is an overall limit of Rs 1.5 lakh. It could be that there are other elements or other routes wherein this limit is being used up and in such a position the additional tax benefit actually could be working out to be nothing for a specific investment because it is already being used up. Many times people do not realise this point and they keep making investments under the belief that there is a tax benefit coming to them when this might not be the case. Also it could be that there is a position where the savings in income tax due to the benefit on the income side is also not significant which can turn around the entire working. In such cases it would be better to stay away from the investment and use other options that are more suitable for achieving a specific goal.

Single or multiple investments

Various types of investments have different implications and one aspect that needs to be considered is the kind of money that would have to be invested by the individual over a period of time. Most people look at the present and what they see as the cost in terms of making the investment only immediately. But this need not be the whole story because it could be that there are several investments where there are regular payments that come in year after year. For example, buying a regular premium life insurance policy that expects buyer to pay for certain minimum number of years. In such a situation there is a longer and a larger investment commitment that the individual is making and this also needs to be factored in the calculations. It might not be prudent or suitable for everyone to make long term investment commitments and hence this should be brought into the investment decision making process.


14.02 | 0 komentar | Read More

CBDT Signs 1st Bilateral APA With Japan!

Written By Unknown on Sabtu, 20 Desember 2014 | 14.03

Published on Sat, Dec 20,2014 | 12:03, Updated at Sat, Dec 20 at 12:03Source : CNBC-TV18 |   Watch Video :

The CBDT has signed its first bilateral advance pricing agreement or APA with Japan. The APA regime was introduced in 2012 and it allows taxpayers and tax authorities to determine in advance, an appropriate transfer pricing methodology for a given set of transactions. Payaswini Upadhyay has the exclusive details.

The CBDT has signed its first APA within 1.5 years which I am told is commendable. Now we don't know the name of the company with whom the APA has been signed because that is confidential information but what we do know is that it's a Japanese trading company. We also know that the agreements have been signed at 3 levels under this Bilateral APA with Japan. The first agreement is between the Competent Authorities of India & Japan. The second agreement is between CBDT & the Japanese company in India. And the third agreement is between the Japanese tax authority & the group company in Japan. Now, this Bilateral APA is important for two reasons- one, it reduces the transfer pricing litigation as it indicates consensus between the tax department and the taxpayer on the arm's length price for that particular international transaction. And two, it reduces the risk of potential double taxation. So, all in all, heartening news for taxpayers that the CBDT is moving efficiently and fast on its APA regime


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Companies Act Amendments: Good News For Promoters?

Published on Sat, Dec 20,2014 | 12:10, Updated at Sat, Dec 20 at 12:10Source : CNBC-TV18 

Siemens, United Spirits, Maruti Suzuki- in the last 6 months, minority shareholders have made their voices heard loud and clear- thanks to the new power given to them by the Companies Act, 2013 and SEBI's Clause 49. Maybe too loud and clear for the comfort of promoters! The majority now feels like the minority prompting the government to amend certain related party transaction provisions in the brand new Act. Payaswini Upadhyay reports on the biggest change proposed by the Companies Act Amendment Bill.

In November last year, Siemens India proposed to sell the company's Metals Technologies Business to its German parent. Since the proposal was a related party transaction, it required approval of minority shareholders, via a special resolution. The minority shareholders rejected the offer price as low. Consequently, Siemens Germany revised the offer price from Rs 857.2 crore to Rs 1,023.27 crore.

In the case of United Spirits, last month minority shareholders rejected as many as 9 related party transcations with Mallya entities.

Just last week, Maruti reportedly decided to postpone seeking shareholder approval for its Gujarat plant. Maruti proposes to allow its parent Suzuki to build the plant – a proposal that has been opposed by investors and proxy advisory firms ever since Maruti first announced it.

- The wait may be worth Maruti's while. This week, the Lok Sabha passed an amendment to Section 188 of the Companies Act which requires related party transactions to be approved by 75% of unrelated shareholders, present and voting. Once amended, the special resolution will be replaced by an ordinary resolution – that is, a resolution requiring approval from more than 50% unrelated shareholders present and voting.

Amit Tandon
Managing Director, IiAS
"With a lower threshold, what we believe is, that some of the dialogue and some of the information which is going to the shareholders might just come down which is not a good sign. You're not asking companies to give confidential information or something which is going to impact them strategically. But certainly, if you are selling a business, the shareholder is entitled to know what the turnover of the business is – whether it is profitable or not. You just cannot say this is the business we've decided is not core to us and we're selling it. By way of an example, few weeks back United Spirits had special resolution for doing certain RPTs with Diageo. You look at the resolution which was proposed the last time and which was hosted by the website just yesterday- certainly there is difference in the kind and quality of information."

Bharat Vasani
Group General Counsel, Tata Group
"I have a slightly different view on the matter. If you look at Siemens' case, a shareholder holding 2.5% of the shareholding could block the corporate restructuring scheme. The concern I have is that if you keep special resolution, I have seen instances where a very small group of shareholders holding 2-3% is able to block the resolution because not all shareholders vote on postal ballot in shareholder meetings or by E-voting. So ideally I would like to see the law that those shareholders who did not vote shall be deemed to have given their consent otherwise you will have this problem of small group blocking the entire scheme. I don't see it is a vey significant dilution. Again 51% approval is of minority shareholders; not of promoter group."

Even if the Companies Act gets amended, listed companies will not be able to avail the benefits of a less stringent threshold. And that's because Clause 49 of the Listing Agreement currently mandates a special resolution for material transactions, in which only un-related party shareholders are permitted to vote. SEBI defines material as transactions exceeding 10% of annual turnover. It's not clear if SEBI will align its Clause 49 with the company law amendment or retain a higher threshold. If it chooses to align, that may mean fewer number of transactions going to the shareholders for approval.

Sandip Bhagat
Partner, S&R Associates
 "You're right- That may mean that lesser number of transactions are going to minority shareholders under the listing agreement but again, I think, the difference between 5% and 10%- it will cover most of the transactions somebody is trying to cover. The threshold at which those transactions get approved, the proposed Bill says ordinary resolution of the minority; the listing agreement says special resolution of the minority. And I think those will have to probably sync with each other.

(SEBI's April Circular: Defined 'material' as transactions exceeding 5% of annual turnover. Later amended to 10% of annual turnover)

Amit Tandon
Managing Director, IiAS
"Having got used to the 75% threshold, I am not going to happy about a rollback. If we hadn't gone to a special resolution threshold and said we need majority of minority investors, I guess 6 months back we would have taken it. At this stage we find it difficult primarily because I do expect it's going to impact the information flow. I also expect that there isn't going to be a dilution as far as interested party is concerned."

Bharat Vasani
Group General Counsel, Tata Group
"If you completely prevent all the related parties from voting, there may be situations of a joint venture where one shareholder is interested and other is not interested but both are related parties and you prevent the other shareholder from voting- there won't be anybody else because this is a two party joint venture. So I think we need to provide certain carve outs if you're going to provide that all related parties should not vote."

Two other amendments pertaining to related party transactions align the Companies Act with Clause 49. The first one allows Audit Committees to grant an omnibus approval for RPTs and the second one exempts related party transactions between holding companies and wholly owned subsidiaries from the requirement of approval of non-related shareholders. Experts say the second amendment is prone to abuse.

Sai Venkateshwaran
Partner & Head- Accounting Advisory Services, KPMG
"The audit committee being empowered to give an omnibus approval- so this is an area where the act is now getting aligned to Clause 49 and in fact both Clause 49 & the Act is now codified. What has emerged to be the practice in some of the corporates -because to get a pre-approval for every single transaction would have been a challenge, therefore corporates are essentially putting together routine transactions into one bunch and based on each counter party, they were documenting what is the transaction price, the methodology, the rationale for the transaction, getting an omnibus approval starting to comply with the rigorous requirements and in a way both Clause 49 & now this amendment has now codified that practice into the law itself, so that's a good change that's come through."

Amit Tandon
Managing Director, IiAS
"One of the observations we've had over the last 12-18 months is that companies have started using their 100% subsidiaries to push through transactions. So one which gained a lot of attention was when Cairn Energy gave money to a group company. The way it was routed was that money was transferred to a 100% subsidiary and the 100% subsidiary then lent to the group company. The approval the 100% subsidiary took was from the parent and not from its shareholders. The point I am making at this stage is that it can be abused – that is what we need to watch out for."

Sandip Bhagat
Partner, S&R Associates
"I think the wholly owned subsidiary does not have a minority shareholder to worry about. You're really talking about is the minority shareholder of the holding company suffering. And I think  the answer to that is if it's a wholly owned subsidiary, then the entire benefits are flowing in to the minority shareholders of the holding company. I don't think it's an issue. This just makes life easier for corporate India without compromising the basic principle which is protection of minority."

Shareholder activists are hoping that SEBI maintains a higher threshold for RPT approval under Clause 49. Besides RPT, most others changes in the Companies Act Amendment Bill seek to iron out procedural issues and facilitate ease of doing business. But one more amendment merits special mention and that is reporting of fraud by auditors. The earlier provisions required all frauds to be reported to the Central government. The amended Section requires reporting of only material frauds to the government. All frauds below the prescribed threshold now need to be reported only to the Audit Committee and disclosed in the Board's report.   

In Mumbai, Payaswini Upadhyay


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GST: Well Begun OR Half Undone?

Show Timings:

Friday: 10.30 pm, Saturday: 11.30 am

Sunday: 9:30am & 11.00pm

Published on Sat, Dec 20,2014 | 12:11, Updated at Sat, Dec 20 at 12:11Source : CNBC-TV18 

It's hot off the press! Just hours ago the parliament tabled the GST Constitutional Amendment Bill. It's a Bill that makes important concessions to state governments. Alcohol is out of the GST. And petroleum products are in…but out. That is they will not be subject to any levy till further notification. Compensation to the States may extend to 5 years and…there's a twist in the tale - for two years an up to 1% tax will be levied on goods by the Centre and assigned to States. You know what they about well begun and half done? Well today we find out whether this version of the GST is well begun or half undone? CNBC-TV18's Menaka Doshi puts that question to Lakshmi Kumaran of Lakshmi Kumaran & Sridharan and Rajeev Dimri of BMR.

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Here are some stock trading ideas from Chandan Taparia

Written By Unknown on Jumat, 19 Desember 2014 | 14.03

Watch the interview of Chandan Taparia of Anand Rathi with Ekta Batra & Anuj Singhal on CNBC-TV18, in which he shared his reading and outlook on market and specific stocks.

Watch the interview of Chandan Taparia of Anand Rathi with Ekta Batra & Anuj Singhal on CNBC-TV18, in which he shared his reading and outlook on market and specific stocks.


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