The BofA Merrill Lynch Fund Manager Survey for June showed that about 9 percent of asset allocators were underweight emerging market equities - the first underweight reading since 2009 and down from a 3 percent overweight position in May.
"A net 25 percent of the global panel say that emerging markets is the region they would most like to underweight in the coming 12 months - the lowest ever reading," the BofA Merrill Lynch report said.
The bearish sentiment towards emerging markets is tied to investors' growing belief that a hard landing in China is now the greatest tail risk to global markets, according to the survey. About 31 percent of the regional fund managers said that China's economy will weaken in the next 12 months, compared with 8 percent in May.
"The biggest contrarian play in the market today is assets linked to China. The lows in emerging market equity and commodity allocations suggest the market has over-positioned itself for a shock from China," Michael Hartnett, chief investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research said.
Fears of a slowdown in the world's second largest economy has led several major banks and international agencies in the past month to downgrade their growth forecasts for China in 2013, with some even calling for gross domestic product (GDP) to dip below 7 percent in the second half of the year. China's official target for the year is 7.5 percent.
Emerging market equity funds, meanwhile, saw their largest outflow of the year with investors pulling USD 5.76 billion last week, according to data provider EPFR Global.
Stuart Oakley, managing director of Asian currency trading at Nomura said the emerging market sell-off has only just begun, and he expects the withdrawal of funds to accelerate when the Fed starts tapering on easing in September.
"There's still a huge amount of foreign money invested in emerging market assets and in emerging market currencies. It could come out eventually," Oakley told CNBC.
Where's the Money Going?
As investors pull out of emerging markets, European equities are becoming more attractive, according to the BofA Merrill survey, which showed 6 percent of fund managers overweight the region's stocks in June, a 14 percent swing from May when 8 percent were underweight.
"Equity allocations increased month-on-month across 13 of the 19 sectors assessed in Europe. The greatest positive swings came in telecoms, financial services, banks and chemicals," the survey said.
Optimism within the region rose the most in the month, with 45 percent of European respondents expecting the euro zone economy to strengthen in the next year, up from 24 percent in the previous month.
"Investors can now see a certain level of stability returning to Europe's economy and positioning for a recovery has started," said John Bilton, European investment strategist at BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research.
The FTSEurofirst 300, a measure of top European equities, has jumped over 17 percent in the last 12 months.
- By CNBC.com's Rajeshni Naidu-Ghelani; Follow her on Twitter @RajeshniNaidu
Copyright 2011 cnbc.com
Anda sedang membaca artikel tentang
Allocations in emerging markets lowest since 2008
Dengan url
https://rokokkanker.blogspot.com/2013/06/allocations-in-emerging-markets-lowest.html
Anda boleh menyebar luaskannya atau mengcopy paste-nya
Allocations in emerging markets lowest since 2008
namun jangan lupa untuk meletakkan link
Allocations in emerging markets lowest since 2008
sebagai sumbernya
0 komentar:
Posting Komentar